From July 2023 through summer 2024, battery cell pricing is expected to plummet by more than 60% due to a surge in electric vehicle (EV) adoption and grid expansion in China and the United States.
From July 2023 through summer 2024, battery cell pricing is expected to plummet by more than 60% due to a surge in electric vehicle (EV) adoption and grid expansion in China and the United States. From pv magazine USA
According to the survey, average battery prices are expected to slip below $100 per kWh as soon as 2026. This is widely considered the “price parity” threshold with ICE vehicles. By 2030, prices could fall as low as $69 per kWh. The study also points out that geopolitical uncertainties and slower demand could impact pricing.
Our researchers forecast that average battery prices could fall towards $80/kWh by 2026, amounting to a drop of almost 50% from 2023, a level at which battery electric vehicles would achieve ownership cost parity with gasoline-fueled cars in the US on an unsubsidized basis. Source: Company data, Wood Mackenzie, SNE Research, Goldman Sachs Research
We're also discussing loyalty among EV owners and the upcoming Stellantis-CATL battery plant in Spain. EV battery prices are inextricably linked to costs of raw materials like lithium, a key ingredient in a cell, along with nickel, cobalt, graphite, manganese and more.
While several studies have previously forecast battery prices to plummet over time, a new report from research firm BloombergNEF states that prices might be falling faster than expected, accelerating the industry's quest for EVs to cost as much as gas cars on average by 2026.
Global average prices for EV batteries have already seen a decline, falling from $153 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in 2020 to $149 in 2023. This year, prices are expected to drop further to $111 per kWh, and by 2026, they are projected to reach just $80.